By Laura Papi and Kiichi Tokuoka*
India’s investment, the main driver of economic growth in the mid-2000s when the country was growing in excess of 9 percent a year, has been sluggish for the past five years.
Private consumption is growing at a rate comparable to pre-crisis levels, but investment has not regained its strength.
The culprit is corporate investment: its share in GDP has fallen to about 10 percent—4 percentage points lower than that in 2007/08. This is a serious concern as India needs more supply capacity.
Reserve Bank of India (RBI) Governor Subbarao recently said that India’s “non-inflationary rate of growth is about 7 percent,” down from 8.5 percent before the global financial crisis, suggesting that supply constraints—for example in power, coal, and land—have become increasingly binding.
Many reasons have been put forward to explain the investment malaise.
Filed under: Asia, Economic research, Employment, Finance, Globalization, growth, Inequality, Investment, Politics, Public debt | Tagged: coal, India, interest rates, jobs, Kiichi Tokuoka, land, Laura Papi, Montek Singh Ahluwalia, Pranab Mukherjee, property, RBI, Reserve Bank of India, Subbarao, World Economic Forum | 1 Comment »