Posted on January 4, 2012 by iMFdirect
By Nicolás Eyzaguirre
(Version in Español, Português)
A few days after the first sunrise of 2012 kissed the shores of Latin America, it is natural to ask: What does the New Year hold for the region’s economies, especially with Europe still under stress?
For sure, a dimmer economic environment, here and abroad. Growth has softened in the larger countries of the region. Looking North, the United States is growing a bit more, but elsewhere activity is softening, including in China—an increasingly important customer for the region’s commodities.
Perhaps more importantly, global financial markets are still strained, because many questions about advanced economies remain unanswered: Continue reading
Filed under: Economic Crisis, Economic outlook, Emerging Markets, Europe, Finance, Financial Crisis, growth, International Monetary Fund, Latin America | Tagged: balance sheets, banking assets, commodity prices, confidence, dollarization, fiscal policy, global financial crisis, global financial markets, IMF, iMFdirect, International Monetary Fund, liquidity conditions, monetary policy, Nicolás Eyzaguirre, weak growth, year ahead | 5 Comments »
Posted on October 5, 2011 by iMFdirect
By Nicolás Eyzaguirre
(Version in Español)
As the European crisis lingers and advanced economies stall, the next six to eighteen months will be challenging for Latin America. Increased global uncertainties may create headwinds for the region—greater stress in the global economy and markets—tailwinds, if the advanced countries’ problems are tackled and economies spring back to life, or volatile gusts—weak growth and continued uncertainty—like we are seeing now.
But it’s not easy to forecast the future of Latin America in these uncertain times, as we discuss in our just-published Regional Economic Outlook for Western Hemisphere. (Here I focus on Latin America, but our report covers the whole region, including North America, Central America, and the Caribbean.)
Today’s global uncertainties are virtually unprecedented. But then again, much of Latin America is stronger today than in past decades. Continue reading
Filed under: International Monetary Fund, Latin America, Economic research, Economic outlook | Tagged: commodity prices, current account deficits, financial market turbulence, financial risks, financial system, fiscal consolidation, global financial markets, government budgets, iMFdirect, inflation, International Monetary Fund, liquidity, monetary policy, Regional Economic Outlook: Western Hemisphere | 5 Comments »