Posted on September 16, 2015 by iMFdirect
By W. Raphael Lam, Xiaoguang Liu, and Alfred Schipke
(Version in 中国)
China is moving toward a “new normal” of safer and more sustainable growth. To this end, ensuring its labor market stays resilient will be critical. Reforms to contain vulnerabilities caused by buildup of credits may temporarily slow growth, and raise the unemployment rate, but supported through a strong safety net, these reforms will raise productivity, and facilitate more sustainable growth.
Despite the slowdown of the past few years, however, China’s labor market has remained resilient. Efforts to maintain labor market stability are paying off, helped by an expanding services sector.
Filed under: Asia, Economic Crisis, Economic outlook, Economic research, Emerging Markets, Employment, growth, IMF | Tagged: Asia, China, employment, labor force, labor market | Leave a comment »
Posted on September 10, 2015 by iMFdirect
By Joong Shik Kang and Shi Piao
(version in 日本語)
Japanese-brand cars have become everyday, household items in the United States, and it’s hard to drive in the country without seeing one on the roads. These cars may be manufactured by Japanese firms, but about 70 percent of these vehicles are actually produced in North America. Globally, in 2014, about two-thirds of Japanese cars were produced on assembly lines outside of that country. Despite the increase in overseas demand for Japanese vehicles, this hasn’t been mirrored by an expansion in investment, and the building of factories in Japan to meet that demand.
Against this background, our IMF Working Paper looks at possible reasons for this sluggish recovery of corporate investment in Japan, focusing on the role of Japanese firms overseas.
Filed under: Advanced Economies, Asia, Economic Crisis, Economic research, Financial Crisis, growth, IMF, International Monetary Fund, Investment, Reform, 日本語 | Tagged: Abenomics, Bank of Japan, energy, investment, Japan, labor force, manufacturing, structural reform | Leave a comment »
Posted on August 27, 2015 by iMFdirect
By Jeff Hayden
Between 2004 and 2013, Latin America recorded impressive growth and strong progress on a range of social issues. High commodity prices combined with strengthened economic management and progressive social policies to propel the region forward.
This strength was all the more striking against the backdrop of the 2008–09 global financial crisis, which mired many advanced economies in recession but saw emerging markets, including many in Latin America, power ahead. This led some observers to dub the period the “Latin American decade.”
Now, as the world’s economic leaders prepare to gather in Lima, Peru, in October for the Annual Meetings of the International Monetary Fund and the World Bank, the picture looks quite different.
Filed under: Annual Meetings, Economic Crisis, Economic outlook, Economic research, Emerging Markets, Employment, Español, Financial Crisis, Fiscal policy, Globalization, growth, IMF, Inequality, International Monetary Fund, Investment, Latin America, Reform | Tagged: commodiity prices, corruption, F&D, Finance & Development. F&D, inequality, islamic finance, labor force, Latin America, trade | Leave a comment »
Posted on August 3, 2015 by iMFdirect
By Antoinette M. Sayeh and Abebe Aemro Selassie
If, as has been observed, demography is destiny, this will be the African century.
Most countries in sub-Saharan Africa are on the cusp of a demographic transition—the years when the share of young and old in the population declines and those in working age range (15-64 years) increases.
Elsewhere, this transition has generally been accompanied by higher savings, incomes, and economic growth. Our latest Regional Economic Outlook for sub-Saharan Africa looks at how the transition might play out and the implications for economic policies.
Filed under: Africa, Economic outlook, Economic research, Emerging Markets, Employment, Financial Crisis, Fiscal policy, growth, IMF, Inequality, International Monetary Fund, Investment, LICs, Low-income countries, Reform | Tagged: Africa, economic growth, emerging market, income, labor force, Regional Economic Outlook: Sub-Saharan Africa, Sub-Saharan Africa | 1 Comment »
Posted on April 28, 2015 by iMFdirect
By Ravi Balakrishnan and Juan Solé
(Version in Español)
Last month’s report on U.S. jobs was disappointing, with far fewer jobs than expected added in March. A longer-term look at trends yields a different picture, however. Over the past year, U.S. job creation has been impressive. Payroll gains have averaged 260,000 per month—well above the 160,000 monthly average seen throughout the 2010–13 recovery.
Filed under: Advanced Economies, Economic Crisis, Economic outlook, Economic research, Employment, Financial Crisis, Government, growth, IMF, International Monetary Fund, unemployment | Tagged: Great Recession, human capital, immigration, job creation, labor force, Macroeconomic policies, reform, U.S., U.S. Fed, unemployment, United States | Leave a comment »
Posted on March 30, 2015 by iMFdirect
By Era Dabla-Norris, Vikram Haksar, and Kalpana Kochhar
Global growth remains anemic more than five years after the global financial crisis. If nothing is done, the prospect of settling into a “new mediocre” will become reality, especially in advanced economies.
In many advanced economies, accommodative monetary policies, growth-friendly fiscal frameworks, and efforts to tackle private debt overhang and improve tax revenues and compliance are essential to lift economic growth in the short term.
Filed under: Advanced Economies, Employment, Europe, Financial Crisis, growth, IMF, International Monetary Fund, Investment, Reform | Tagged: advanced economies, balance sheets, France, infrastructure, Italy, Japan, jobs, labor force, monetary policy, Portugal, reforms, women | Leave a comment »
Posted on February 23, 2015 by iMFdirect
By Christine Lagarde
(Versions in 中文, Français, 日本語, Русский, عربي and Español)
Leveling the legal playing field for women holds real promise for the world—in both human and economic terms. Unfortunately, that promise remains largely ignored and its potential untapped. In too many countries, too many legal restrictions conspire against women to be economically active—to work.
What can be done to remove these barriers? A new study done by IMF economists seeks to answer that question.
The bottom line? It’s about a fair, level playing field.
Filed under: Africa, Asia, Economic research, Employment, Global Governance, growth, IMF, Inequality, International Monetary Fund, Latin America, Middle East, Reform | Tagged: child care, East Asia, education, Egypt, employment, empowering women, female labor participation, gender wage gap, Japan, Kenya, labor force, labor market, labor regulations, Middle East and North Africa, Namibia, Peru, U.A.E, U.S., women | Leave a comment »