Posted on September 21, 2011 by iMFdirect
By José Viñals
(Versions in عربي, Français, 日本語, and Русский)
We are back in the danger zone. Since the IMF’s previous Global Financial Stability Report, financial stability risks have increased substantially—reversing some of the progress that had been made over the previous three years.
Several shocks have recently buffeted the global financial system: unequivocal signs of a broader global economic slowdown; fresh market turbulence in the euro area; and the credit downgrade of the United States.
This has thrown us into a crisis of confidence driven by three main factors: weak growth, weak balance sheets, and weak politics. Continue reading
Filed under: Economic research, Europe, Financial Crisis, Financial regulation, Financial sector supervision, IMF, International Monetary Fund | Tagged: balance sheet repair, bank balance sheets, capital buffers, confidence, credit risk, deleveraging, financial danger zone, financial stability risk, Global Financial Stability Report, global financial system, household balance sheets, IMF, iMFdirect, International Monetary Fund, sovereign and financial balance sheets, sovereign risks, weak balance sheets | 9 Comments »
Posted on April 12, 2011 by iMFdirect
By Carlo Cottarelli
Undertaking a sizable fiscal adjustment is a lot like driving up a tall mountain: it’s hard work, it can take a long time, and you don’t want to run out of fuel partway up the incline. Countries are starting the climb, cutting back government deficits and debt levels, but according to our analysis often current plans aren’t enough to get countries where they need and want to go.
The plans in place are large by historical standards, which brings with it difficult choices, and particular risks and uncertainties. Let me fill you in on what these are. Continue reading
Filed under: Economic Crisis, Fiscal policy, International Monetary Fund, Public debt | Tagged: bank recapitalization, cyclically adjusted balance, debt sustainability, fiscal adjustment, fiscal consolidation, Fiscal Monitor, fiscal sustainability, government debt, interest rate-growth differential, medium-term fiscal consolidation, primary budget balance, public debt, sovereign risks | 1 Comment »
Posted on October 5, 2010 by iMFdirect
By José Viñals
It would be unfair for any assessment of global economic and financial stability not to acknowledge that tremendous progress has been made in repairing and strengthening the financial system since the onset of the global crisis.
Still, the key message from the IMF’s October 2010 Global Financial Stability Report (GFSR) is clear. Progress toward global financial stability has suffered a setback over the past six months—the financial system remains the Achilles’ heel of the economic recovery. Continue reading
Filed under: Advanced Economies, Economic Crisis, Emerging Markets, Financial Crisis, Financial regulation, Financial sector supervision, International Monetary Fund | Tagged: bank restructuring, banking system, capital inflows, debt sustainability, economic recovery, financial reform, Financial regulation, financial sector vulnerabilities, financial supervision, GFSR, Global Financial Stability Report, regulatory reform, sovereign risks | 2 Comments »