Posted on July 19, 2011 by iMFdirect
By Antonio Borges
(Versions in عربي, 中文, 日本語, Español, Français)
It is hard to hold the course in the middle of a storm, but European policymakers need to if they want European integration to succeed. The sovereign debt crisis is a serious challenge, which requires a strong and coordinated effort by all involved to finally put it behind us.
Surviving the storm will be of little consequence if the euro area finds itself trapped in the perpetual winter of low growth. Germany may be expanding at record speed right now, but it wasn’t so long ago when it grew much more slowly—just 1.5 percent per year between 1995 and 2007. In contrast, Sweden grew by 3 percent a year and the United States by 2 percent during the same period.
Many experts fear that without reforms, growth in Germany could drop even lower in the next 5‑10 years and beyond when global trade cools again. The situation is worse in the countries that currently find themselves in the eye of the storm.
Filed under: Advanced Economies, Economic Crisis, Europe, growth, IMF, International Monetary Fund | Tagged: currency union, Economic and Monetary Union, economic crisis, economic integration, equity capital, euro area, euro area Art IV, Europe, European financial stability framework, European Union, financial sector, Germany, global trade, governance, government debt, growth, integration, labor market, policymakers, reforms, sovereign debt, Stability and Growth Pact, structural reforms, surveillance, Sweden | 17 Comments »
Posted on February 10, 2011 by iMFdirect
By Dominique Strauss-Kahn
(Version in Español Français 日本語)
The international monetary system (IMS) is a topic that encompasses a wide range of issues—reserve currencies, exchange rates, capital flows, and the global financial safety net, to name a few. It is one of the key issues on the G-20’s work agenda for 2011, and a topic that is eliciting lively discussion—for instance the recent, insightful report of the group chaired by Michel Camdessus, called the “Palais-Royal Initiative”.
Some are of the view that the current system works well enough. While not perfect, they point to its resilience during the crisis, citing the role of the U.S. dollar served as a safe haven asset. And now that the global recovery is underway, they see little reason to worry about the IMS. In other words, “if it ain’t broke, don’t fix it”.
I take a less sanguine view. Continue reading
Filed under: Advanced Economies, Economic Crisis, Emerging Markets, G-20, Global Governance, Globalization, International Monetary Fund, Low-income countries, Multilateral Cooperation | Tagged: capital controls, capital flows, early warning exercise, exchange rates, Flexible Credit Line, FSAP, G-20 mutual assessment process, global financial safety net, global imbalances, international monetary cooperation, international monetary system, macrofinancial linkages, policy coordination, precautionary credit line, regional financing mechanisms, reserve currencies, Special Drawing Rights, surveillance | 17 Comments »
Posted on September 23, 2010 by iMFdirect
By John Lipsky
“Never again can we let ourselves be caught unprepared by an economic and financial crisis of such global magnitude.” This was the spirit in which G-20 Finance Ministers in late 2008 tasked the IMF and the newly-formed Financial Stability Board to jointly develop an Early Warning Exercise (EWE), to be ready by the IMF’s 2009 Istanbul Annual Meetings.
The inspiration was clear: In the wake of the September 2008 onset of unprecedented financial turmoil, policymakers recognized that earlier danger signs had not been synthesized into an actionable warning. The EWE was intended to fill the analytical gap: the goal is to produce an effective “call to arms” as threats emerge—but well before crises erupt. Continue reading
Filed under: Advanced Economies, Economic Crisis, Emerging Markets, Financial Crisis, IMF, International Monetary Fund | Tagged: alternative policy scenarios, contingency plans, early warning exercise, financial sector regulation, financial supervision, global economic crisis, global financial crisis, multilateral surveillance, sensitivity analysis, surveillance, tail risks, vulnerabilities, vulnerability analysis | 5 Comments »
Posted on September 9, 2010 by iMFdirect
By Reza Moghadam
Though the recent global crisis started in the advanced economies, most emerging markets came under pressure; it seemed that no country, especially those most interconnected, was immune from tremendous economic strain. Now, as the crisis abates, there is an emerging consensus that something needs to be done. A better safety net is needed to enable countries with good policies to insure against bad outcomes, especially when they are innocent bystanders caught up in a financial turmoil.
Last week, the IMF took another step toward meeting this need by enhancing its country insurance facilities. Continue reading
Filed under: Economic Crisis, Economic research, Emerging Markets, Financial Crisis, G-20, IMF, International Monetary Fund | Tagged: capital flows, contagion, country insurance facilities, emerging market spreads, Flexible Credit Line, global financial safety net, precautionary credit line, regional financial safety nets, reserves, surveillance, systemic crisis, systemic shocks | 5 Comments »
Posted on July 15, 2010 by iMFdirect
By Dominique Strauss-Kahn
(Version in 中文, 日本語 and 한국어)
In Daejeon, Korea earlier this week, a remarkable event took place that enabled the world to hear the voice of Asia and to learn how the region has been able to show such great resilience in the face of the worst global financial crisis since the 1930s. On July 12 and 13, more than 1,000 officials, economists, bankers, analysts, and media assembled for a conference titled Asia 21: Leading the Way Forward, hosted by the Korean government and the IMF. I personally learned a great deal about Asia’s growing stake in the global economy—and the global economy’s growing stake in Asia. As the world strives to leave the crisis behind, the economic center of gravity is shifting increasingly eastwards, and Asia’s role is more vital than ever before.
Our objectives with this conference, jointly organized with the superb help of our Korean partners, were three-fold: Continue reading
Filed under: Advanced Economies, Asia, Economic Crisis, Emerging Markets, G-20, Global Governance, Globalization, IMF, International Monetary Fund, Multilateral Cooperation, 中文 | Tagged: Asia and the IMF, Asia21, Asian crisis, capital flows, domestic investment, early warning exercise, economic cooperation, economic powerhouse, G-20, G-20 mutual assessment process, global financial safety net, governance reform, IMF quotas, multilateral surveillance, regional financial safety nets, regional financing mechanisms, spillovers, surveillance | 6 Comments »
Posted on July 9, 2010 by iMFdirect
By Anoop Singh
In just a few days’ time, the Korean government and the IMF will jointly host a high-level international conference in Daejeon, Korea. At the Fund, we are trying continually to enhance our strategic dialogue with Asia, and the conference is an important part of this effort.
Asia’s leadership of the global recovery is undeniable, as I have said in earlier blogs. And the extensive reforms and improved macroeconomic policy frameworks that underpinned the region’s remarkable resilience to the global crisis will see Asia’s successes continue. In just two short decades, we expect it to become the largest economic region in the world.
The Korea conference will be an opportunity to showcase Asia’s economic successes, and also highlight the importance of regional integration and cooperation, which has been growing rapidly in Asia.
Filed under: Advanced Economies, Asia, Economic Crisis, Emerging Markets, G-20, Global Governance, Globalization, growth, IMF, International Monetary Fund, Low-income countries, Multilateral Cooperation | Tagged: Asia, Asia and the IMF, Asia-Pacific, Asian integration, cross-border linkages, early warning exercise, financial sector reform, G-20, global economic crisis, global financial safety net, governance, governance reform, IMF governance, low-income countries, multilateral surveillance, policy coordination, rebalance global economy, regional financial safety nets, regional integration, spillovers, strong policy frameworks, surveillance, vulnerability analysis | Leave a comment »
Posted on March 14, 2010 by iMFdirect
By Reza Moghadam
The IMF is rethinking its role in the post-crisis world to ensure it is working most effectively for its 186 member countries, and helping them avoid another global recession, with all that implies for trade, jobs, and living standards.
At the IMF-World Bank meetings in Istanbul in October 2009, the IMF was called on by its policy steering committee to rethink its mandate. The IMFC wanted to ensure that the IMF is able to cover―and I quote here from the communiqué that was issued in October 2009―“the full range of macro and financial sector policies that bear on macroeconomic global stability.”
The conclusions of this work will be discussed at our upcoming Annual Meetings in Washington D.C. The issues are rather complex, as you can imagine. We will be issuing a series of papers for discussion by the IMF’s Executive Board in the coming months. Our first discussion paper was published on February 26.
Filed under: Annual Meetings, G-20, IMF, International Monetary Fund, Multilateral Cooperation | Tagged: consultation, governance, IMF mandate, post-crisis, surveillance, U.S. Fed | 3 Comments »