Posted on December 29, 2016 by iMFdirect
What a year it has been. 12 months with big implications for the global economy.
In 2016 our readers’ curiosity focused on a wide range of hot topics in the world of economic and financial policy: the economic impact of migration, China’s economic transition, the prospects for negative interest rates, the way forward for Greece, the future of commodity prices, and the outlook for Latin America, to name a few. We compiled this top ten list for the past year based on readership. Continue reading
Filed under: Advanced Economies, Asia, China, commodities, Economic research, euro zone, Europe, exchange rates, Financial markets, Fiscal policy, G-20, Gender issues, Greece, growth, IMF, interest rates, International Monetary Fund, Latin America, negative interest rates, U.S. | Tagged: Alejandro Werner, Christine Lagarde, José Viñals, Maurice Obstfeld, Poul Thomsen, Vitor Gaspar | Leave a comment »
Posted on December 12, 2016 by iMFdirect
By Maurice Obstfeld and Poul M. Thomsen
Versions in عربي (Arabic); Français (French); Deutsch (German); ελληνικά (Greek); and Español (Spanish)
Greece is once again in the headlines as discussions for the second review of its European Stability Mechanism (ESM) program are gaining pace. Unfortunately, the discussions have also spurred some misinformation about the role and the views of the IMF. Above all, the IMF is being criticized for demanding more fiscal austerity, in particular for making this a condition for urgently needed debt relief. This is not true, and clarifications are in order. Continue reading
Filed under: Debt Relief, Europe, Fiscal policy, Greece, IMF, International Monetary Fund | Tagged: austerity, debt, debt relief, debt sustainability, ESM, euro zone, Europe, European Stability Mechanism, financial stability, fiscal policy, GDP, Greece, IMF, iMFdirect blog, International Monetary Fund | Leave a comment »
Posted on December 9, 2016 by iMFdirect
Many countries are experiencing a combination of declining birth rates and increasing longevity. In other words, their populations are aging. And graying populations pose serious issues for people, policymakers, and society. Continue reading
Filed under: Advanced Economies, aging, Europe, growth, health, International Monetary Fund, Japan, jobs, labor force, productivity | Tagged: advanced economies, aging, Europe, GDP, growth, health care, IMF, iMFdirect blog, Japan, labor force, pensions, productivity, TFP, Total Factor Productivity | Leave a comment »
Posted on December 8, 2016 by iMFdirect
By Hites Ahir and Prakash Loungani
Versions in: عربي (Arabic), 中文 (Chinese), Français (French), 日本語 (Japanese), Русский (Russian), and Español (Spanish)
During 2007-08, house prices in several countries collapsed, marking the onset of a global financial crisis. The IMF’s Global House Price Index, a simple average of real house prices for 57 countries, is now almost back to its level before the crisis (Chart 1). Is it time to worry again about a global fall in house prices? Continue reading
Filed under: Advanced Economies, China, Europe, growth, housing, International Monetary Fund | Tagged: advanced economies, boom-bust cycle, China, Europe, Global House Price Index, house prices, housing, housing market, IMF, iMFdirect blog, Min Zhu, population growth | Leave a comment »
Posted on November 29, 2016 by iMFdirect
By Philip Gerson and Johannes Wiegand
For an economist interested in examining the evolution of monetary and exchange rate regimes, Central, Eastern and Southeastern Europe (CESEE) provides a habitat of unparalleled diversity. Almost every type of regime can be found in the region: from floating and inflation targeting over various pegs to the unilateral use of the euro and full euro area membership.
Filed under: deflation, Economic research, euro zone, Europe, exchange rates, Fiscal policy, IMF, inflation, International Monetary Fund, structural reforms | Tagged: Central Europe, CESEE, deflation, Europe, eurozone, exchange rate flexibility, exchange rate regimes, exchange rates, fiscal policy, inflation, monetary policy, Southeastern Europe, structural policy | Leave a comment »
Posted on October 24, 2016 by iMFdirect
By Florence Jaumotte, Ksenia Koloskova, and Sweta Saxena
Version in Español (Spanish)
Migration, no matter how controversial politically, makes sense economically. A new IMF study shows that, over the longer term, both high- and low-skilled workers who migrate bring benefits to their new home countries by increasing income per person and living standards. High-skilled migrants bring diverse talent and expertise, while low-skilled migrants fill essential occupations for which natives are in short supply and allow natives to be employed at higher-skilled jobs. Moreover, the gains are broadly shared by the population. It may therefore be well-worth shouldering the short-term costs to help integrate these new workers.
Filed under: Advanced Economies, Economic research, Employment, Europe, IMF, Inequality, International Monetary Fund, labor force, Migration, unemployment | Tagged: advanced economies, employment, European migration, GDP, IMF, inequality, International Monetary Fund, labor force, labor productivity, migrants, Migration, nanny effect, public spending, unemployment | Leave a comment »
Posted on September 29, 2016 by iMFdirect
By Ian Bremmer and David Lipton
Versions: عربي (Arabic), 中文 (Chinese), Français (French), 日本語 (Japanese), Русский (Russian), and Español (Spanish)
Too often, a spirit of international cooperation evaporates just when it is most needed and most promising. And then, lack of cooperation leads to crisis; crisis belatedly forces cooperation; but that cooperation must begin with picking up the pieces.
Filed under: Advanced Economies, Annual Meetings, China, Economic Crisis, Economic research, Emerging Markets, Europe, IMF, Inequality, International Monetary Fund, Middle East, U.S. | Tagged: advanced economies, BRICs, Chiang Mai Initiative, China, David Lipton, emerging market economies, Europe, G20, Ian Bremmer, IMF, IMF/World Bank Annual Meetings, iMFdirect, inequality, International Monetary Fund, Middle East, New Development Bank, refugees, technology, United Nations, United States | Leave a comment »