Posted on March 7, 2017 by iMFdirect
By Emine Boz, Luis Cubeddu, and Maurice Obstfeld
Versions in عربي (Arabic), 中文 (Chinese), Français (French), 日本語 (Japanese), Русский (Russian), and Español (Spanish)
Basic economic theory tells us that capital should flow from slow-growing rich countries to faster-growing poor ones in search of higher returns. A decade ago, our former Research Department colleagues Eswar Prasad, Raghuram Rajan, and Arvind Subramanian examined why the reverse had been true—capital generally flowed “uphill” from poorer to richer countries. Building on the seminal work of Robert Lucas, they argued that certain characteristics of poorer countries, such as weaker institutions and lower levels of education, may reduce the risk-adjusted returns to investing there. Continue reading
Filed under: Advanced Economies, capital flows, capital markets, China, developing countries, Economic outlook, Economic research, Emerging Markets, exchange rates, IMF, Investment, U.S. | Tagged: advanced economies, capital flows, China, developing economies, domestic saving, emerging economies, exchange rate flexibility, foreign exchange reserves, global capital allocation, IMF, iMFdirect blog, investment climate, Maurice Obstfeld, monetary policy, protectionism, United States | Leave a comment »
Posted on December 29, 2016 by iMFdirect
What a year it has been. 12 months with big implications for the global economy.
In 2016 our readers’ curiosity focused on a wide range of hot topics in the world of economic and financial policy: the economic impact of migration, China’s economic transition, the prospects for negative interest rates, the way forward for Greece, the future of commodity prices, and the outlook for Latin America, to name a few. We compiled this top ten list for the past year based on readership. Continue reading
Filed under: Advanced Economies, Asia, China, commodities, Economic research, euro zone, Europe, exchange rates, Financial markets, Fiscal policy, G-20, Gender issues, Greece, growth, IMF, interest rates, International Monetary Fund, Latin America, negative interest rates, U.S. | Tagged: Alejandro Werner, Christine Lagarde, José Viñals, Maurice Obstfeld, Poul Thomsen, Vitor Gaspar | Leave a comment »
Posted on November 29, 2016 by iMFdirect
By Philip Gerson and Johannes Wiegand
For an economist interested in examining the evolution of monetary and exchange rate regimes, Central, Eastern and Southeastern Europe (CESEE) provides a habitat of unparalleled diversity. Almost every type of regime can be found in the region: from floating and inflation targeting over various pegs to the unilateral use of the euro and full euro area membership.
Filed under: deflation, Economic research, euro zone, Europe, exchange rates, Fiscal policy, IMF, inflation, International Monetary Fund, structural reforms | Tagged: Central Europe, CESEE, deflation, Europe, eurozone, exchange rate flexibility, exchange rate regimes, exchange rates, fiscal policy, inflation, monetary policy, Southeastern Europe, structural policy | Leave a comment »