Posted on March 21, 2016 by iMFdirect
By Cheng Hoon Lim
(Version in Français)
Canada’s housing market is sizzling hot and the Bank of Canada has a monetary policy dilemma: increase interest rates to cool the housing market would hurt borrowers and the economy; keep interest rates low adds fuel to the borrowing that led to the rise in housing prices and in household debt. What to do?
Filed under: Advanced Economies, banking, Financial regulation, housing, IMF, International Monetary Fund | Tagged: Bank of Canada, Canada, financial stability, GDP, house prices, household debt, housing market, IMF, iMFdirect, monetary policy, mortgages | Leave a comment »
Posted on March 3, 2016 by iMFdirect
By Jihad Dagher, Giovanni Dell’Ariccia, Luc Laeven, Lev Ratnovski, and Hui Tong
The appropriate level of bank capital and, more generally, a bank’s capacity to absorb losses, has been a contentious subject of discussion since the financial crisis. Larger buffers give bankers “skin in the game” helping to prevent excessive risk taking and absorb losses during crises. But, some argue, they might increase the cost of financial intermediation and slow economic growth.
Filed under: banking, Europe, Finance, Financial Crisis, International Monetary Fund, U.S. | Tagged: advanced economies, bank capital, bank credit, bank recapitalization, banking, capital buffers, capital flows, Europe, IMF, International Monetary Fund, nonperforming loans, United States | Leave a comment »
Posted on February 9, 2016 by iMFdirect
By Elva Bova, Marta Ruiz-Arranz, Frederik Toscani, and Elif Ture
(Version in Español)
Budgets can be full of surprises. And not always good ones. Often times, debt increases significantly because an unforeseen obligation materializes. These contingent liabilities, as they are known in the economist’s jargon, can have significant economic and fiscal costs. In fact, on many occasions, large and unexpected increases in debt across the world were due to the materialization of contingent liabilities. That is why they are often called hidden deficits.
Filed under: Asia, Economic Crisis, Financial Crisis, Fiscal, IMF, International Monetary Fund | Tagged: Asia, Asian crisis, bailouts, contingent liabilities, deficits, Europe, GDP, global financial crisis, Greece, growth volatility, public-private partnerships | Leave a comment »
Posted on February 1, 2016 by iMFdirect
Housing is on everyone’s mind. The collapse of housing bubbles can be very costly.
- In Japan, house prices rose by about 40 percent during the mid-1980s; the collapse was followed by a ‘lost decade’ in which incomes did not grow and house prices fell by over 40 percent.
- In the United States, house prices increased by about 30 percent between 2001 and 2006; their collapse was followed by the global financial crisis.
Filed under: China, Financial Crisis, housing, IMF, International Monetary Fund, Japan, U.S. | Tagged: China, global financial crisis, housing, housing market, IMF, International Monetary Fund, Japan, research, United States | Leave a comment »
Posted on January 20, 2016 by iMFdirect
(Version in عربي, 中文, and Español)
Technology and finance have always gone together. So what’s new this time around? Virtual currencies are part of a broader tech revolution that is driving fundamental change in the global economy.
Filed under: Finance, Financial markets, Financial regulation, International Monetary Fund, technology | Tagged: Bitcoin, currency, Davos, distributed ledgers, finance, financial inclusion, financial stability, global economy, history of money, IMF, monetary policy, technology, United States, virtual currency, virtual currency regulation | Leave a comment »
Posted on November 17, 2015 by iMFdirect
By Jorg Decressin and Prakash Loungani
Devaluation is often part of the remedy for a country in financial trouble. Devaluation boosts the competitiveness of a country’s exports and curtails imports by making them more costly. Together, the higher exports and the reduced imports generate some of the financial resources needed to help the country get out of trouble.
For countries that belong to—and want to stay in—a currency union, however, devaluation is not an option. This was the situation facing several euro area economies at the onset of the global financial crisis: capital had been flowing into these countries before the crisis but much of it fled when the crisis hit.
Filed under: Advanced Economies, Economic outlook, Economic research, Emerging Markets, Employment, Europe, Financial Crisis, Fiscal policy, growth, IMF, Inequality, International Monetary Fund | Tagged: central bank, euro area, spillover, structural reforms, wage moderation, wages | Leave a comment »
Posted on November 9, 2015 by iMFdirect
by John Caparusso, Yingyuan Chen, Evan Papageorgiou and Shamir Tanna
(Versions in 中文, Português, Русский, and Español)
Emerging markets have had a great run. The fifteen largest emerging market economies grew by 48% from 2009 to 2014, a period when the Group of Twenty economies collectively expanded by 6%.
How did emerging markets sustain this growth? In part, they drew upon bank lending to drive corporate credit expansion, strong earnings, and low defaults. This credit boom, combined with falling commodity prices and foreign currency borrowing, now leaves emerging market firms vulnerable and financial sectors under stress, as we discuss in the latest Global Financial Stability Report.
Filed under: Economic Crisis, Economic outlook, Economic research, Emerging Markets, Financial Crisis, Fiscal policy, IMF, International Monetary Fund, Reform | Tagged: Argentina, bank lending, Brazil, China, commodiity prices, credit boom, debt, emerging markets, G20, Global Financial Stability Report, India, Indonesia, macroprudential policies, Russia, Thailand, Turkey | Leave a comment »