Posted on July 25, 2016 by iMFdirect
By David Lipton
Versions in عربي (Arabic), Español (Spanish)
Almost a decade after the start of the global financial crisis, the world economy is still trying to achieve escape velocity. The IMF’s recent forecast for global growth is a disappointing 3.1 percent in 2016 and 3.4 percent in 2017. And the outlook remains clouded by increased economic and political uncertainty, including from the impact of the Brexit vote.
Policymakers have taken forceful macroeconomic policy action to support growth, such as fiscal stimulus and appropriately accommodative monetary policy. But a lasting recovery remains elusive. Continue reading
Filed under: Advanced Economies, Financial Crisis, Fiscal policy, G-20, International Monetary Fund | Tagged: Brazil, business cycle, competition, foreign direct investment, IMF, India, Indonesia, International Monetary Fund, macroeconomic policy, monetary policy, structural reforms, trade | Leave a comment »
Posted on July 21, 2016 by iMFdirect
Once again, we face the prospect of weak and fragile global growth. Released earlier this week, the IMF’s update to the global economic outlook expects global growth at 3.1 percent and 3.4 percent in 2016 and 2017, respectively, slightly down from April estimates. The global outlook, which was set for a small upward revision prior to the U.K.’s referendum, has been revised downward, reflecting the increased economic, political, and institutional uncertainty. Continue reading
Filed under: Advanced Economies, Europe, G-20, Government, International Monetary Fund, Multilateral Cooperation | Tagged: Brexit, China, growth, IMF, risk, trade | Leave a comment »
Posted on June 27, 2016 by iMFdirect
By David Lipton
There were a lot of dramatic headlines over the weekend suggesting that Brexit signals the beginning of the end of globalization. Surely, it is too soon to understand all the ramifications of the British referendum. But at the same time, today is surely a good day to make the case for multilateralism. While there are plenty of reasons to be concerned about the future, I will argue that globalization still has promise. But to achieve that promise, we will need a fresh look at multilateralism and the role the international financial institutions can play.
Filed under: Advanced Economies, Asia, developing countries, Emerging Markets, Europe, Globalization, IMF, International Monetary Fund | Tagged: advanced economies, Brexit, current account deficits, David Lipton, developing countries, emerging markets, Europe, Globalization, IMF, International Monetary Fund, multilateralism | Leave a comment »
Posted on March 24, 2016 by iMFdirect
By Maurice Obstfeld, Gian Maria Milesi-Ferretti, and Rabah Arezki
Versions in عربي (Arabic), 中文 (Chinese), Français (French),
日本語 (Japanese), Русский (Russian), Español (Spanish)
Oil prices have been persistently low for well over a year and a half now, but as the April 2016 World Economic Outlook will document, the widely anticipated “shot in the arm” for the global economy has yet to materialize. We argue that, paradoxically, global benefits from low prices will likely appear only after prices have recovered somewhat, and advanced economies have made more progress surmounting the current low interest rate environment.
Filed under: Employment, Globalization, IMF, International Monetary Fund, Middle East, oil, U.S. | Tagged: energy, GDP, IMF, Maurice Obstfeld, Middle East, oil exporters, oil prices, OPEC, Russia, sovereign wealth funds, United States, World Economic Outlook | Leave a comment »
Posted on March 17, 2016 by iMFdirect
We should have seen a decrease in inequality with globalization, but that’s not what has happened in the last 25 years, according to Nobel Laureate and Harvard Professor Eric Maskin. While there are a number of reasons to care about inequality, he says there is a high correlation between high inequality and social and political unrest, with consequences for a country’s political and economic stability.
Filed under: Advanced Economies, Economic research, Emerging Markets, Employment, Globalization, IMF, Inequality, International Monetary Fund, Low-income countries | Tagged: Eric Maskin, Globalization, iMFdirect, inequality, job skills | Leave a comment »
Posted on February 24, 2016 by iMFdirect
(Versions in عربي and Español)
Shanghai will welcome finance ministers and central bank governors for the first ministerial meeting under China’s Group of Twenty presidency this weekend. The meeting comes at a critical time for the global economy. A note by IMF staff prepared as background for the G20 meeting, Global Prospects and Policy Challenges, points to a tepid recovery, and warns that weaker global growth might well be in the cards. This calls for a strong policy response, both national and multilateral, including from the G20.
Filed under: Economic research, G-20, Globalization, growth, IMF, International Monetary Fund, refugees | Tagged: China, G20, Globalization, growth, IMF, iMFdirect, International Monetary Fund, monetary policy, recovery, refugees, spillovers, surveillance | Leave a comment »
Posted on December 10, 2015 by iMFdirect
World leaders are meeting in Paris to forge a new climate deal. We interviewed two leading thinkers on climate, Nick Stern and Christiana Figueres.
Filed under: Advanced Economies, Africa, climate change, Emerging Markets, Europe, Finance, Fiscal policy, Globalization, Government, growth, IMF, Inequality, International Monetary Fund, Latin America, Low-income countries, Reform | Tagged: Christiana Figueres, Nick Stern | Leave a comment »