Posted on May 3, 2016 by iMFdirect
By Prakash Loungani and Zidong An
Version in Español (Spanish)
Forecasts of real GDP growth attract a lot of media attention. But what matters more to the person on the street is how growth translates into jobs. Unfortunately, the mediocre growth outlook of recent years may lead to a disturbing outlook for jobs, particularly among fuel-exporting countries and in the Latin America and Caribbean region.
Filed under: Advanced Economies, Caribbean, developing countries, Emerging Markets, euro zone, Inequality, International Monetary Fund, Latin America, U.S., unemployment | Tagged: Argentina, Brazil, Caribbean, euro area, IMF, inequality, jobs, labor market, Latin America, Okun coefficient, poverty, unemployment, United States, Venezuela, World Economic Outlook | Leave a comment »
Posted on March 17, 2016 by iMFdirect
We should have seen a decrease in inequality with globalization, but that’s not what has happened in the last 25 years, according to Nobel Laureate and Harvard Professor Eric Maskin. While there are a number of reasons to care about inequality, he says there is a high correlation between high inequality and social and political unrest, with consequences for a country’s political and economic stability.
Filed under: Advanced Economies, Economic research, Emerging Markets, Employment, Globalization, IMF, Inequality, International Monetary Fund, Low-income countries | Tagged: Eric Maskin, Globalization, iMFdirect, inequality, job skills | Leave a comment »
Posted on March 10, 2016 by iMFdirect
By Rahul Anand and Paul Cashin
After being low for decades, inflation in India trended higher from the mid-2000s. It reached 10–11 percent by 2008, and remained elevated at double digits for several years. Even though inflation fell by almost half in 2014, inflation expectations have remained high.
High and persistent inflation in recent years has presented serious macroeconomic challenges in India, increasing the country’s domestic and external vulnerabilities. As Reserve Bank of India Governor Raghuram Rajan pointed out at the 8th R.N. Kao Memorial Lecture in 2014, “inflation is a destructive disease … we can’t push inflation under the carpet as a central banker. We have to deal with it.”
Filed under: Asia, Emerging Markets, IMF, Inequality, inflation, International Monetary Fund, LICs | Tagged: demand, food prices, food supply, growth, households, IMF, India, inequality, inflation, International Monetary Fund, Reserve Bank of India | Leave a comment »
Posted on November 24, 2015 by iMFdirect
By Davide Furceri and Prakash Loungani
(Version in Español)
It is well accepted that trade generates winners and losers. The past few decades have seen increases not just in trade in goods and services but trade in assets, as countries relax restrictions on the ability of capital to flow across national boundaries. Surprisingly, while the impact of trade in goods and services on inequality has been extensively studied, little attention has been paid to the distributional impacts of opening up capital markets. Our paper fills this gap.
Filed under: Economic outlook, Economic research, International Monetary Fund | Tagged: capital accounts, capital flows, Chinn-Ito index, gini coefficient, IMF, iMFdirect, inequality, International Monetary Fund, markets, trade liberalization, trade openness | Leave a comment »
Posted on November 16, 2015 by iMFdirect
by Antoinette Sayeh
(Versions in Français and Português)
Rising inequality is both a moral and economic issue that has implications for the general health of the global economy, and impacts prosperity and growth.
So it’s not surprising that reducing inequality is an integral part of the Sustainable Development Goals adopted by world leaders at the United Nations summit in September. I often discuss with my colleagues where sub-Saharan Africa stands with respect to these objectives. Unfortunately, the region remains one of the most unequal in the world, on par with Latin America (see Chart 1). In fact, inequality seems markedly higher at all levels of income in the region than elsewhere (see Chart 2).
Filed under: Africa, growth, IMF, Inequality, International Monetary Fund | Tagged: Africa, Angola, Antoinette Sayey, Cameroon, gender inequality, growth, inclusive growth, inequality, Kenya, Mali, Namibia, Niger, South Africa, Sub-Saharan Africa, sustainable development Goals | Leave a comment »
Posted on October 22, 2015 by iMFdirect
By Sonali Jain-Chandra, Kalpana Kochhar, and Monique Newiak
(Versions in عربي, 中文, Français, 日本語, Русский, and Español)
Despite progress, wide gaps between women and men’s economic empowerment and opportunity remain, which policymakers need to tackle urgently. In most countries, more men than women work, and they get paid more for similar work. Also, there are considerable gender gaps in access to education, health and finance in a number of countries. There is mounting evidence that the lack of gender equity imposes large economic costs as it hampers productivity and weighs on growth.
Our new study analyzes the links between these two phenomena—inequality of income and that of gender. We find that gender inequality is strongly associated with income inequality across time and countries of all income groups.
Filed under: Economic Crisis, Economic outlook, Economic research, Emerging Markets, Employment, Fiscal policy, Globalization, IMF, Inequality, International Monetary Fund, Reform | Tagged: developing economies, education, empowering women, gender wage gap, Germany, income inequality, India, inequality, infrastructure, Japan, labor force, tax policy, women labor force participation | Leave a comment »
Posted on September 15, 2015 by iMFdirect
By Ratna Sahay, Martin Cihak, Papa N’Diaye, Adolfo Barajas, and Srobona Mitra
(Version in Français, Español, عربي)
A growing number of policymakers see financial inclusion—greater access to financial services throughout a country’s population—as a way to promote and make economic development work for society. More than 60 countries have adopted national financial inclusion targets and strategies. Opening bank accounts for all in India and encouraging mobile payments platforms in Peru are just two examples. Evidence for individuals and firms suggests that greater access to financial services indeed makes a difference in investment, food security, health outcomes, and other aspects of daily life. Our study looks at the benefits to the economy as a whole.
Filed under: Advanced Economies, Economic research, Emerging Markets, Finance, Financial regulation, Fiscal policy, growth, IMF | Tagged: banks, economic growth, finance, financial inclusion, growth, India, inequality, infrastructure, Middle East, Peru, United States, women | Leave a comment »