Posted on July 19, 2016 by iMFdirect
By Maurice Obstfeld
Versions in عربي (Arabic), 中文 (Chinese), Français (French), and Español (Spanish)
The United Kingdom’s June 23 vote to leave the European Union adds downward pressure to the world economy at a time when growth has been slow amid an array of remaining downside risks. The first half of 2016 revealed some promising signs—for example, stronger than expected growth in the euro area and Japan, as well as a partial recovery in commodity prices that helped several emerging and developing economies. As of June 22, we were therefore prepared to upgrade our 2016-17 global growth projections slightly. But Brexit has thrown a spanner in the works.
Filed under: Advanced Economies, Economic outlook, Economic research, Europe, International Monetary Fund | Tagged: bank balance sheets, Brexit, China, debt overhang, financial, financial markets, geopolitical risks, growth, IMF, investment, Japan, Nigeria, Policy Action, refugees, South Africa, trade, unemployment, United Kingdom, World Economic Outlook | Leave a comment »
Posted on July 13, 2016 by iMFdirect
By Anne-Marie Gulde-Wolf
Version in Français (French), Português (Portuguese)
There are many reasons why deeper financial development—the increase in deposits and loans but also their accessibility and improved financial sector efficiency—is good for sustainable growth in sub-Saharan Africa. For one, it helps mobilize savings and to direct funds into productive uses, for example by providing the start-up capital for the next innovative enterprise. This in turn facilitates a more efficient allocation of resources and increases overall productivity.
Filed under: Africa, Economic outlook, Financial regulation, growth, IMF, International Monetary Fund, Investment | Tagged: financial inclusion, Financial regulation, financial sector, growth, IMF, iMFdirect, International Monetary Fund, investment, Pan-African banks, Regional Economic Outlook: Sub-Saharan Africa, stability, Sub-Saharan Africa | Leave a comment »
Posted on July 7, 2016 by iMFdirect
A suitcase filled with multiple passports? That’s not just the stuff of spy movies anymore. Increasingly, a growing number of high-net worth individuals are looking to have a passport portfolio. This has led to a proliferation of so-called citizenship-by-investment or economic citizenship programs that allow individuals from all over the world to legitimately acquire passports.
Filed under: Caribbean, Emerging Markets, IMF, International Monetary Fund, Investment | Tagged: capital inflows, Caribbean, economic citizenship, GDP, governance, IMF, iMFdirect, income growth, International Monetary Fund, investment, sustainable growth | Leave a comment »
Posted on June 30, 2016 by iMFdirect
When global banks decide to withdraw from some countries and no longer do business with banks there, the global effect so far has been a gentle ripple, but if unaddressed, it may become more like a tsunami for the countries they leave.
Filed under: banking, Financial regulation, IMF, International Monetary Fund, Investment, trade | Tagged: Angola, banking services, Caribbean, Financial regulation, financial system, foreign payments, global banks, growth, IMF, iMFdirect, International Monetary Fund, investment, jobs, Liberia, Samoa, trade | Leave a comment »
Posted on May 24, 2016 by iMFdirect
By Sonali Jain-Chandra, Kalpana Kochhar and Tidiane Kinda
Versions in 中文 (Chinese), 日本語 (Japanese)
Asia continues to be the world’s growth leader, but the gains from growth are less widely shared than before. Until about 1990, Asia grew rapidly and secured large gains in poverty reduction while simultaneously achieving a fairly equitable society. Since the early 1990s, however, the region has witnessed widening income inequality that has accompanied its robust expansion—a break from its own remarkable past.
This matters because elevated levels of inequality are harmful for the pace and sustainability of growth. What can be done? Our research finds that policies could substantially reverse the trend of rising inequality. In particular, given limited social safety nets, well-designed fiscal policies may be able to alleviate inequality without stifling the region’s wealth-creating growth.
Filed under: Asia, China, Emerging Markets, Employment, Fiscal, Fiscal policy, Government, growth, IMF, India, Inequality, International Monetary Fund, Investment, Reform | Tagged: China, fiscal policy, IMF, iMFdirect, income inequality, India, inquality, International Monetary Fund, investment, unemployment | Leave a comment »
Posted on December 21, 2015 by iMFdirect
By Wenjie Chen and Roger Nord
(Versions in عربي, 中文, Français, Português, and Español)
China’s President Xi Jinping’s recent pledge of US$60 billion in financial support over the next three years illustrates the depth of the partnership between China and Africa.
However, China’s shift from an investment-heavy, export led growth strategy to an economic model that relies more on domestic consumption has led to a dramatic decline in commodity prices. Lower commodity prices and lower volumes of trade have hit sub-Saharan Africa’s commodity exporters hard. But over the medium term, this shift may offer sub-Saharan African countries the opportunity to diversify their economies away from natural resources, and create jobs for their young populations, provided they pursue the right policies to foster competitiveness and integrate into global value chains.
Filed under: Africa, China, growth, International Monetary Fund, Investment, Transition | Tagged: China, commodities, export diversification, exports, foreign direct investment, IMF, imports, investment, Sub-Saharan Africa, trade | Leave a comment »
Posted on October 6, 2015 by iMFdirect
By Maurice Obstfeld
(Versions in Español, عربي, 中文, Français, Русский and 日本語)
Today, we released the October 2015 World Economic Outlook.
Our forecasts come at a moment when the world economy is at the intersection of at least three powerful forces.
First, China’s economic transformation – away from export- and investment-led growth and manufacturing, in favor of a greater focus on consumption and services. This process, however necessary and healthy in the longer term, has near-term implications for China’s growth and its relations with its trade partners.
Filed under: Advanced Economies, Annual Meetings, Asia, Economic Crisis, Economic outlook, Economic research, Emerging Markets, Europe, growth, IMF, International Monetary Fund, Investment, Latin America, Reform | Tagged: Australia, Brazil, Canada, China, commodiity prices, deflation, emerging markets, exchange rate, forecast, investment, Japan, Latin America, Maurice Obstfeld, monetary policy, Norway, Russia, trade, United States, WEO, World Economic Outlook | Leave a comment »