Posted on March 15, 2017 by iMFdirect
By Rabah Arezki and Akito Matsumoto
Versions in عربي (Arabic), Русский (Russian), and Español (Spanish)
In November 2014, the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) decided to maintain output despite a perceived global glut of oil. The result was a steep decline in price.
Two years later, on November 30, 2016, the organization took a different tack and committed to a six-month, 1.2 million barrel a day (3.5 percent) reduction in OPEC crude oil output to 32.5 million barrels per day, effective in January 2017. The result was a small price increase and some price stability. Continue reading
Filed under: Economic research, IMF, Investment, oil, trade | Tagged: Algeria, IMF, iMFdirect blog, infrastructure, investment, Iraq, Kuwait, Libya, Nigeria, oil, oil exporters, oil prices, OPEC, Russia, Saudi Arabia, shale oil, UAE, United States | Leave a comment »
Posted on October 26, 2016 by iMFdirect
The IMF’s latest regional economic outlook for Sub-Saharan Africa shows growth at its lowest level in more than 20 years. In this podcast, the African Department’s new Director, Abebe Aemro Selassie, says it’s a mixed story of struggling oil-exporters and strong performers.
Filed under: Africa, banking, developing countries, Economic research, Finance, Fiscal, growth, IMF, International Monetary Fund, LICs, monetary policy, oil, poverty, technology | Tagged: Abebe Aemro Selassie, Angola, Cote d’Ivoire, education, financial inclusion, fuel subsidies, health care, infrastructure, investment, Nigeria, senegal, South Africa, Tanzania, tax systems | Leave a comment »
Posted on July 19, 2016 by iMFdirect
By Maurice Obstfeld
Versions in عربي (Arabic), 中文 (Chinese), Français (French), and Español (Spanish)
The United Kingdom’s June 23 vote to leave the European Union adds downward pressure to the world economy at a time when growth has been slow amid an array of remaining downside risks. The first half of 2016 revealed some promising signs—for example, stronger than expected growth in the euro area and Japan, as well as a partial recovery in commodity prices that helped several emerging and developing economies. As of June 22, we were therefore prepared to upgrade our 2016-17 global growth projections slightly. But Brexit has thrown a spanner in the works.
Filed under: Advanced Economies, Economic outlook, Economic research, Europe, International Monetary Fund | Tagged: bank balance sheets, Brexit, China, debt overhang, financial, financial markets, geopolitical risks, growth, IMF, investment, Japan, Nigeria, Policy Action, refugees, South Africa, trade, unemployment, United Kingdom, World Economic Outlook | Leave a comment »
Posted on May 31, 2016 by iMFdirect
By Jeff Hayden
Strong performance by many African economies over the past two decades led some commentators to coin the term “Africa Rising” to describe the region’s surging economic power.
The term graced the cover of TIME magazine in December 2012, in an issue that chronicled the region’s decades-long journey from economic anemia to impressive vigor. Beginning in the mid-1990s, many—but certainly not all—countries in sub-Saharan Africa energized their economies, achieving in recent years some of the world’s highest growth. Living standards improved as a result, as did health care and other key services, inspiring hope for a bright future.
Filed under: Africa, Fiscal policy, Government, growth, IMF, International Monetary Fund, Investment | Tagged: Africa, health care, IMF, infrastructure, International Monetary Fund, Nigeria, technology, United States, Women in the Workforce | Leave a comment »
Posted on January 28, 2015 by iMFdirect
By David Marston, Era Dabla-Norris, and D. Filiz Unsal
(version in Español)
Economists are paying increasing attention to the link between financial inclusion—greater availability of and access to financial services—and economic development. In a new paper, we take a closer look at exactly how financial inclusion impacts a country’s economy and what policies are most effective in promoting it.
The new framework developed in this paper allows us to identify barriers to financial inclusion and see how lifting these barriers might affect a country’s output and level of inequality. Because the more you know about what stands in the way of financial inclusion, the better you can be at designing policies that help foster it.
Filed under: Advanced Economies, Africa, Asia, Economic Crisis, Economic outlook, Economic research, Emerging Markets, Financial Crisis, Financial regulation, Fiscal policy, growth, IMF, Inequality, International Monetary Fund, Low-income countries | Tagged: Colombia, Congo, Costa Rica, Egypt, El Salvador, financial inclusion, growth, Guatemala, Honduras, India, inequality, investment, Kenya, Malaysia, Mozambique, Nicaragua, Nigeria, Panama, Paraguay, Peru, Philippines, Uganda, Uruguay, Zambia | Leave a comment »
Posted on June 9, 2014 by iMFdirect
By Sanjeev Gupta and Enrique Flores
(Versions in Español)
The Finance Minister answers her mobile. On the line is the Minister of Energy, who informs her that the country has struck oil and that he expects revenues from its sale to start flowing into the budget in the coming four years. While excited by the prospects of higher revenues—indeed the average resource-rich country gets more than 15 percent of GDP in resource revenues—she starts to ponder how to use these revenues for her country’s development. She is aware that only in rare cases have natural resources served as a catalyst for development; too often they have led to economic instability, corruption, and conflict or what has been termed as “the resource curse.”
Filed under: Economic research, Finance, Financial regulation, Fiscal policy, growth, IMF, International Monetary Fund, Investment, Reform | Tagged: Alaska, budget, energy, income, income distribution, macroeconomics, natural resources, Nigeria, oil, resource wealth, subsidies, wealth | Leave a comment »
Posted on May 19, 2014 by iMFdirect
By Min Zhu
(Version in 中文,Français, Português, and Español)
There is a group of fast-growing low-income countries that are attracting international investor interest—frontier economies. Understanding who they are, how they are different, and how they have moved themselves to the frontier matters for the global economy because they combine huge potential with big risks.
Get to know them
The first thing to note is that some of these countries already have moved to the lower-middle income group. While a working definition of frontier economies is subject to further discussion, broadly speaking, these countries have been deepening their financial markets, such as Bangladesh, Kenya, Nigeria, Mozambique, and Vietnam.
Filed under: Africa, Asia, Emerging Markets, growth, IMF, International Monetary Fund, Investment, LICs, Low-income countries | Tagged: Bangladesh, Bolivia, fiscal policy, Ghana, iMFdirect, Kenya, monetary policy, Mozambique, Nigeria, services sector, Tanzania, Vietnam | Leave a comment »