Posted on January 5, 2017 by iMFdirect
The IMF will assess a range of financial systems in 2017: large ones such as China and Japan, medium-sized ones like Luxembourg, Spain, and Turkey, and small ones such as Guyana and Zambia. Continue reading
Filed under: Economic research, Financial markets, International Monetary Fund, monetary policy | Tagged: Bahrain, Belarus, Bulgaria, China, Finland, FSAP, Germany, Guyana, India, Indonesia, Ireland, Japan, Lebanon, Luxembourg, Madagascar, Mauritius, Mexico, Montenegro, Netherlands, New Zealand, Russia, Saudi Arabia, Spain, Sweden, Turkey, United Kingdom, Zambia | Leave a comment »
Posted on December 16, 2016 by iMFdirect
By Joong Shik Kang and Wojciech S. Maliszewski
Version in 中文 (Chinese)
China urgently needs to tackle its corporate-debt problem before it becomes a major drag on growth in the world’s No. 2 economy. Corporate debt has reached very high levels and continues to grow. In our recent paper, we recommend that the government act promptly to adopt a comprehensive program that would sacrifice some economic growth in the short term while rapidly returning the economy to a sustainable growth path.
Filed under: Asia, banking, China, Debt Relief, Economic research, Financial regulation, growth, IMF, International Monetary Fund, Public debt | Tagged: Asia, banking, China, corporate debt, credit gap, credit risks, debt relief, deleveraging, Financial regulation, IMF, iMFdirect blog, investment, Japan, Spain | Leave a comment »
Posted on August 4, 2016 by iMFdirect
By John C. Bluedorn and Christian Ebeke
Small businesses could be the lifeblood of Europe’s economy, but their size and high debt are two of the factors holding back the investment recovery in the euro area. The solution partly lies in policies to help firms grow and reduce debt.
Our new study, part of the IMF’s annual economic health check of the euro area, takes a novel bottom-up look at the problem. We analyze the drivers of investment using a large dataset of over six million observations in eight euro area countries, from 2003 to 2013: Austria, Belgium, Germany, France, Finland, Italy, Portugal, and Spain. Continue reading
Filed under: banking, Economic research, euro zone, Europe, Finance, Financial Crisis, IMF, International Monetary Fund, Investment, Public debt | Tagged: Austria, bank financing, banking, Belgium, credit risk, euro area, Europe, Finland, France, Germany, IMF, International Monetary Fund, investment, Italy, leverage, nonperforming loans, Portugal, public debt, small and medium-sized enterprises, Spain | Leave a comment »
Posted on March 31, 2016 by iMFdirect
By Vitor Gaspar and Ruud De Mooij
Versions in عربي (Arabic), 中文 (Chinese), Français (French), 日本語 (Japanese), Русский (Russian), Español (Spanish)
Imagine how three-dimensional printing, driverless cars and artificial intelligence will change our future. Or think of how developments in information technology, e-commerce and the sharing economy are already changing the way we learn, work, shop, and travel. Innovation drives progress and, in economic terms, determines productivity growth. And productivity growth, in turn, determines prosperity. It impacts our lives and well-being in fundamental ways: it determines where and how long we live; it determines our quality of life. Continue reading
Filed under: Fiscal, Fiscal policy, IMF, International Monetary Fund, technology | Tagged: Australia, Belgium, Chile, entrepreneurs, Fiscal Monitor, fiscal policy, France, IMF, iMFdirect, International Monetary Fund, jobs, Keynes, Korea, Netherlands, productivity growth, R&D, Shumpeter, Spain, tax policy | Leave a comment »
Posted on July 9, 2015 by iMFdirect
By Olivier Blanchard
(Versions in Español and عربي)
Today we published the World Economic Outlook Update.
But first, let me talk about the elephant in the room, namely Greece.
The word elephant may not be right: As dramatic as the events in Greece are, Greece accounts for less than two percent of the Eurozone GDP, and less than one half of one percent of world GDP.
Filed under: Advanced Economies, Asia, Economic Crisis, Economic outlook, Emerging Markets, Europe, Financial Crisis, Globalization, growth, IMF, Inequality, International Monetary Fund, Latin America, Politics, Reform | Tagged: Brazil, economic forecasts, emerging economies, eurozone, Greece, IMF forecast, Japan, Olivier Blanchard, Russia, Spain, United States, WEO, World Economic Outlook | Leave a comment »
Posted on June 10, 2015 by iMFdirect
By Eugenio Cerutti, Jihad Dagher, and Giovanni Dell’Ariccia
Housing finance—considered one of the villains of the recent global financial crisis—was seen, at least until recently, as a vehicle for economic growth and social stability. Broader access to housing finance promotes home ownership, especially for younger and poorer households; which in turn is often linked to social stability, and ultimately economic growth.
But real-estate boom episodes have often ended in busts with dire economic consequences, especially when the boom was financed through fast credit growth. Several countries have seen these boom-bust patterns over the last decade, particularly in some of the hardest hit countries during the global financial crises, such as Ireland, Spain, and the United States. Despite having different mortgage market structures, these three countries saw an astonishing increase in house prices and construction on the back of risky lending which was followed by a painful adjustment period—a mortgage credit boom gone bad.
Filed under: Advanced Economies, Economic Crisis, Economic outlook, Economic research, Emerging Markets, Finance, Financial Crisis, Fiscal policy, growth, IMF, International Monetary Fund, Investment, Reform | Tagged: house prices, household debt, housing market, Ireland, monetary policy, mortgages, real estate, Spain, United States | Leave a comment »
Posted on May 7, 2015 by iMFdirect
By Shekhar Aiyar, Bergljot Barkbu, and Andreas (Andy) Jobst
If financing is the lifeblood of European small businesses, then the effect of the financial crisis was similar to a cardiac arrest. The flow of affordable credit from banks was choked off and small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) were hit hardest. Today, with bank lending still recovering from that shock, smart policy actions could open up securitization as a source of financing to help small businesses start up, flourish and grow.
SMEs are vital to the European economy. They account for 99 out of every 100 businesses, two in every three employees, and 58 cents of each euro of value added of the business sector in Europe. Improving access to finance would therefore not only revive small businesses, but also support a strong and lasting recovery for Europe as a whole.
Filed under: Advanced Economies, Economic Crisis, Economic research, Europe, Finance, Globalization, growth, IMF, International Monetary Fund, Investment, Reform | Tagged: bank lending, bond markets, capital markets, credit, EU, Europe, France, Germany, infrastructure, Italy, private investment, Securitization, small and medium-sized enterprises, Spain | Leave a comment »