Posted on July 27, 2016 by iMFdirect
By Ian Parry and Philippe Wingender
Version in 中文 (Chinese)
A single policy could do it all for China. A carbon tax—an upstream tax on the carbon content of fossil fuel supply—could dramatically cut greenhouse gases, save millions of lives, soothe the government’s fiscal anxieties, and boost green growth. Continue reading
Filed under: Asia, China, climate change, health, IMF, International Monetary Fund, technology, trade | Tagged: carbon dioxide, carbon tax, China, Climate change, CO2 emissions, coal, emissions trading system, fossil fuels, GDP, greenhouse gases, healthcare spending, IMF, iMFdirect, India, International Monetary Fund, Paris agreement, trade, United States | Leave a comment »
Posted on July 25, 2016 by iMFdirect
By David Lipton
Versions in عربي (Arabic), Español (Spanish)
Almost a decade after the start of the global financial crisis, the world economy is still trying to achieve escape velocity. The IMF’s recent forecast for global growth is a disappointing 3.1 percent in 2016 and 3.4 percent in 2017. And the outlook remains clouded by increased economic and political uncertainty, including from the impact of the Brexit vote.
Policymakers have taken forceful macroeconomic policy action to support growth, such as fiscal stimulus and appropriately accommodative monetary policy. But a lasting recovery remains elusive. Continue reading
Filed under: Advanced Economies, Financial Crisis, Fiscal policy, G-20, International Monetary Fund | Tagged: Brazil, business cycle, competition, foreign direct investment, IMF, India, Indonesia, International Monetary Fund, macroeconomic policy, monetary policy, structural reforms, trade | Leave a comment »
Posted on July 21, 2016 by iMFdirect
Once again, we face the prospect of weak and fragile global growth. Released earlier this week, the IMF’s update to the global economic outlook expects global growth at 3.1 percent and 3.4 percent in 2016 and 2017, respectively, slightly down from April estimates. The global outlook, which was set for a small upward revision prior to the U.K.’s referendum, has been revised downward, reflecting the increased economic, political, and institutional uncertainty. Continue reading
Filed under: Advanced Economies, Europe, G-20, Government, International Monetary Fund, Multilateral Cooperation | Tagged: Brexit, China, growth, IMF, risk, trade | Leave a comment »
Posted on July 20, 2016 by iMFdirect
By Alejandro Werner
Versions in: Português (Portuguese), Español (Spanish)
Following a rough start at the beginning of the year, both external and domestic conditions in Latin America and the Caribbean have improved. But the outlook for the region is still uncertain.
Commodity prices have recovered since their February 2016 trough, but they are still expected to remain low for the foreseeable future. This has been accompanied by a brake—or even a reversal—in the large exchange rate depreciations in some of the largest economies in the region.
Filed under: Caribbean, Economic outlook, Emerging Markets, IMF, International Monetary Fund, Investment, Latin America, South America, trade, Transition | Tagged: Argentina, Brazil, Brexit, Central America, Chile, Colombia, Dominican Republic, Ecuador, exchange rate depreciation, export revenues, GDP, growth potential, IMF, iMFdirect, International Monetary Fund, Mexico, Peru, trade, Uruguay, Venezuela | Leave a comment »
Posted on July 19, 2016 by iMFdirect
By Maurice Obstfeld
Versions in عربي (Arabic), 中文 (Chinese), Français (French), and Español (Spanish)
The United Kingdom’s June 23 vote to leave the European Union adds downward pressure to the world economy at a time when growth has been slow amid an array of remaining downside risks. The first half of 2016 revealed some promising signs—for example, stronger than expected growth in the euro area and Japan, as well as a partial recovery in commodity prices that helped several emerging and developing economies. As of June 22, we were therefore prepared to upgrade our 2016-17 global growth projections slightly. But Brexit has thrown a spanner in the works.
Filed under: Advanced Economies, Economic outlook, Economic research, Europe, International Monetary Fund | Tagged: bank balance sheets, Brexit, China, debt overhang, financial, financial markets, geopolitical risks, growth, IMF, investment, Japan, Nigeria, Policy Action, refugees, South Africa, trade, unemployment, United Kingdom, World Economic Outlook | Leave a comment »
Posted on June 30, 2016 by iMFdirect
When global banks decide to withdraw from some countries and no longer do business with banks there, the global effect so far has been a gentle ripple, but if unaddressed, it may become more like a tsunami for the countries they leave.
Filed under: banking, Financial regulation, IMF, International Monetary Fund, Investment, trade | Tagged: Angola, banking services, Caribbean, Financial regulation, financial system, foreign payments, global banks, growth, IMF, iMFdirect, International Monetary Fund, investment, jobs, Liberia, Samoa, trade | Leave a comment »
Posted on June 22, 2016 by iMFdirect
By Christine Lagarde
Version in Español (Spanish)
The U.S. economy is in good shape, despite some setbacks in very recent months. The latest IMF review of the U.S. economy can be summed up in three numbers: above 2, below 5, and 4. What does that mean?
Filed under: Advanced Economies, Economic research, Financial markets, growth, IMF, International Monetary Fund, labor markets, monetary policy, U.S. | Tagged: advanced economies, Christine Lagarde, GDP, growth, IMF, income inequality, International Monetary Fund, labor force, population, poverty, productivity, productivity gains, trade, United States, US ecconomy, women | Leave a comment »