Posted on February 28, 2017 by iMFdirect
By Camilla Lund Andersen
Deep unease about rising inequality and stagnating living standards in advanced economies was at the heart of the 2016 political upheaval. Globalization and trade have been blamed, but entrenched slow growth—what economists call secular stagnation—may be the real culprit. Parents who took for granted that their children would enjoy a brighter future had their dreams dashed by the global financial crisis of 2008. Nine years later, rising populism and a return to nationalist, inward-looking policies threaten to unravel the postwar economic order. Continue reading
Filed under: Advanced Economies, developing countries, Emerging Markets, Globalization, growth, IMF, Inequality, trade | Tagged: economic growth, Finance & Development. F&D, GDP, global financial crisis, Globalization, IMF, iMFdirect blog, income distribution, inequality, nationalism, population aging, population growth, populism, secular stagnation, trade, youth | Leave a comment »
Posted on February 24, 2017 by iMFdirect
“If we’re fighting each other because we can’t design a system that actually works for everybody, then working people will again continue to mistrust our institutions, and the threat to democracy is very real; you see it.” – Sharan Burrow
Burrow is General Secretary of the International Trade Union Confederation, and in this podcast she says collective action is needed to help better distribute the benefits of growth. Continue reading
Filed under: Gender issues, Globalization, IMF, jobs, labor force, trade, unemployment, wages | Tagged: employment, gender, Globalization, growth, iMFdirect blog, infrastructure investment, ITUC, jobs, Labor, labor force, Sharan Burrow, trade, unemployment, wages, women, youth unemployment | Leave a comment »
Posted on December 21, 2016 by iMFdirect
Terms of trade is the price of a country’s exports relative to its imports. The commodity terms of trade refers to a country’s commodity exports relative to its commodity imports.
When the price of commodities, like oil, plummeted in 2015, economies that rely on exporting commodities had their terms of trade drop by an average of about 10 percent of GDP that year. Economies that rely more on importing commodities saw about a 2 percent of GDP benefit from the 2015 drop in prices. Continue reading
Filed under: commodities, Economic research, IMF, International Monetary Fund, oil, trade, U.S. | Tagged: commodity exporters, commodity importers, commodity prices, GDP, IMF, iMFdirect blog, oil, trade, World Economic Outlook | Leave a comment »
Posted on December 20, 2016 by iMFdirect
By Maurice Obstfeld
Version inعربي (Arabic), 中文 (Chinese), Français (French), 日本語 (Japanese), Русский (Russian), and Español (Spanish)
After a year marked by financial turbulence, political surprises, and unsteady growth in many parts of the world, the Fed’s decision this month to raise interest rates for just the second time in a decade is a healthy symptom that the recovery of the world’s largest economy is on track.
The Fed’s action was hardly a surprise: markets had for weeks placed a high probability on last week’s move. But market developments preceding the Fed decision did surprise many market watchers. Continue reading
Filed under: Advanced Economies, Emerging Markets, Fiscal policy, Government, growth, interest rates, International Monetary Fund, jobs, labor force, U.S. | Tagged: developing economies, emerging market economies, exchange rates, government spending, growth, IMF, iMFdirect blog, inflationary pressures, interest rates, jobs, labor force, trade, U.S. elections, U.S. Fed, U.S. taxes, United States | Leave a comment »
Posted on November 30, 2016 by iMFdirect
By Camilla Lund Andersen
2016 has been a year of political upheaval, as accepted truths about the power of globalization to transform lives and lift millions out of poverty are being questioned by electorates in Europe, the United States, and elsewhere. No longer prepared to take experts and elites at their word, many voters appear to be rejecting the adverse consequences of globalization by casting their ballot for antiestablishment messages and candidates.
Filed under: Employment, Globalization, growth, IMF, income, Inequality, International Monetary Fund, Investment, jobs, trade, unemployment | Tagged: employment, F&D, Finance & Development magazine, Globalization, growth, IMF, iMFdirect blog, inequality, International Monetary Fund, investment, jobs, trade, trade unions, unemployment | Leave a comment »
Posted on November 21, 2016 by iMFdirect
By Roberto Cardarelli
Versions in Português (Portuguese), and Español (Spanish)
Most people know Argentina as the land of tango, Malbec, and some of the greatest soccer players of all times. But Argentina is also famous for being home to some of the most diverse and extreme landscapes of the world—from subtropical rainforests and Iguazu Falls in the north to the glaciers of Perito Moreno in the south, and from the lowest site in South America (Laguna del Carbón) to the highest elevation in the Americas (Aconcagua mountain).
Filed under: Economic research, Fiscal policy, Government, growth, inflation, International Monetary Fund, Latin America, Reform, taxation, trade | Tagged: Argentina, economic assessment, fiscal policy, growth, IMF, iMFdirect blog, inflation targeting, International Monetary Fund, Latin America, reform, taxation, trade | Leave a comment »